The vaccinated population was 400% more likely to get the COVID-19 from December to April in the United Kingdom.

Regular readers may recall me critiquing the blood clot study that appeared in BMJ awhile back. In that critique, I pointed to the disproportionate number of cases in the vaccinated shown in table 1 below.

For context, the 1,758,095 cases in the vaccinated between December and April? That is 115,000 more cases than there had been in the pandemic up until that point (see below).

Even more astonishingly, the total cases during that period were only 2,760,084. In other words, only 1,001,989 unvaccinated individuals were infected. Or 756,106 less than the vaccinated.

Those are some serious numbers and the excuse that the vaccinated population is larger than the unvaccinated population that the vaccine enthusiasts usually deploy does not hold. During that period, the vaccinated population lived 4,956,979 life years, and the unvaccinated population lived 14,280,910 life years. For every life year lived, a vaccinated individual had a 35.47% chance of catching the virus, compared to just 7.02% for the unvaccinated individual. That translates into a vaccine effectiveness of negative 405%.

I have seen -100% over sustained periods with other data, but generally data for the early vaccination periods are missing, -400% is astonishingly bad. How could this happen? Likely because the UK deployed their vaccination program at a extremely quick pace, in cohorts of individuals, with a relatively low level of natural immunity. In short, the recently vaccinated were likely to be around other recently vaccinated individuals, who were all suffering from weakened immune systems due to the early effect of the vaccination. Additionally, the population was mostly virus naive, the virus could get a foothold and spread like a wildfire on dry timber.