Ah, the Center for Disease Control is at it again with another study meant to justify vaccinations in children. They continue to use the same old tricks, too. I will jump right to the conclusion as it is important to note that this study is completely irrelevant as it was done almost exclusively in a period where now extinct variants were dominant, so when the authors conclude “These findings support continued use of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines among all eligible persons aged ≥5 years”, they are merely selling vaccines, not following any semblance of science. But even if the variants that dominated 2021 were not extinct, their conclusion is still silly upon closer examination.
Appreciate another good write-up here. The sheer number of confounding factors with all of these studies render then nearly useless. The issues related to testing and diagnosis alone with so many asymptomatic cases make all of this virtually impossible to unpack. That said, your conclusion is spot-on. Even if the vaccines work perfectly, and clearly they do not, the myocarditis discussion relies completely on the rate of infection in the involved cohorts. That exact value that will never be close to accurate unless participants are tested every day independent of symptoms for months on end and the testers are blinded as to the vaccine status of those tested. (And you were, rightly, all over this point.)
Goodness, I would love to participate in that study... But, without it, there is no proof of vaccine utility or relative safety. And there is no way my teenagers are going to be vaccinated. Particularly after they all had it last year and were barely symptomatic. What is their risk/benefit? Certainly unfavorable. And further boosters will likely have further risks of cardiac issues, again relative to risk of new infection, and the whole cycle continues....
Oh, and I did notice the footnote that they are only comparing to the second dose. So, the first dose increases the risk of illness (well documented) who end up in the unvaccinated cohort (less than 14d after vaccination) and their risk of cardiac issues does not count. Well, that sure seems fair. How many jokers do you have in that deck, anyway???
I don't have the skillset to unpack all of the shenanigans, but I know when something is "off." I worked as a data-collector for research, including for one big pharma-study. This CDC study was very murky (putting it kindly). I shared your substack on Twitter. Hopefully, others weigh in!
Could be staff at CDC is experiencing cognitive dissonance. They know they were wrong before, but cannot acknowledge it consciously even to themselves, thus doubling down everytime the dissonant chord is plucked, again without it really being consciously done. They are simply so deep down the hole of their digging, all they can see is they have to keep digging.
I've seen the behaviour many times re: parents to children with autism-spectrum disorders. They latch on to an explanation (colouring agents, vaccines, chemtrails, subliminals in kid's TV, whatever) and clutch that catch-all explanation as the proverbial straw for the drowning.
While forgetting that they and thir child needs training, and that they need to so their exercises at home too, no matter whatever the root cause of the condition may be.
They wanta n out, they want the problem to go away without them doing anything different or at all, and it might be the same thing with a lot of civil servants now when the Corona hysteria is entering the phase where almost all the followers and fanatics sober up and feel embarassed about how they've acted for so long.
And the brain doesn't like that feeling, does it? So it invents ways to rationalise it, and then forget it. Alcoholics, fatties, dope heads, and so on - same psychological pattern. Won't acknowledge that their own behaviour is the part of the problem they can affect, won't acknowledge their own part in making the situation worse, and won't shape up since the rationalisation is both a reflex and a conditioned responces strenghtened and confirmed by society and their social circle.
Or it could be stupidity, incompetenc and corruption of course but those are not in conflict with the above. Rather the opposite actually.
Appreciate another good write-up here. The sheer number of confounding factors with all of these studies render then nearly useless. The issues related to testing and diagnosis alone with so many asymptomatic cases make all of this virtually impossible to unpack. That said, your conclusion is spot-on. Even if the vaccines work perfectly, and clearly they do not, the myocarditis discussion relies completely on the rate of infection in the involved cohorts. That exact value that will never be close to accurate unless participants are tested every day independent of symptoms for months on end and the testers are blinded as to the vaccine status of those tested. (And you were, rightly, all over this point.)
Goodness, I would love to participate in that study... But, without it, there is no proof of vaccine utility or relative safety. And there is no way my teenagers are going to be vaccinated. Particularly after they all had it last year and were barely symptomatic. What is their risk/benefit? Certainly unfavorable. And further boosters will likely have further risks of cardiac issues, again relative to risk of new infection, and the whole cycle continues....
Oh, and I did notice the footnote that they are only comparing to the second dose. So, the first dose increases the risk of illness (well documented) who end up in the unvaccinated cohort (less than 14d after vaccination) and their risk of cardiac issues does not count. Well, that sure seems fair. How many jokers do you have in that deck, anyway???
I don't have the skillset to unpack all of the shenanigans, but I know when something is "off." I worked as a data-collector for research, including for one big pharma-study. This CDC study was very murky (putting it kindly). I shared your substack on Twitter. Hopefully, others weigh in!
The high end of the CDC risk ratio is almost certainly completely blown out by underreporting of infections alone.
Could be staff at CDC is experiencing cognitive dissonance. They know they were wrong before, but cannot acknowledge it consciously even to themselves, thus doubling down everytime the dissonant chord is plucked, again without it really being consciously done. They are simply so deep down the hole of their digging, all they can see is they have to keep digging.
I've seen the behaviour many times re: parents to children with autism-spectrum disorders. They latch on to an explanation (colouring agents, vaccines, chemtrails, subliminals in kid's TV, whatever) and clutch that catch-all explanation as the proverbial straw for the drowning.
While forgetting that they and thir child needs training, and that they need to so their exercises at home too, no matter whatever the root cause of the condition may be.
They wanta n out, they want the problem to go away without them doing anything different or at all, and it might be the same thing with a lot of civil servants now when the Corona hysteria is entering the phase where almost all the followers and fanatics sober up and feel embarassed about how they've acted for so long.
And the brain doesn't like that feeling, does it? So it invents ways to rationalise it, and then forget it. Alcoholics, fatties, dope heads, and so on - same psychological pattern. Won't acknowledge that their own behaviour is the part of the problem they can affect, won't acknowledge their own part in making the situation worse, and won't shape up since the rationalisation is both a reflex and a conditioned responces strenghtened and confirmed by society and their social circle.
Or it could be stupidity, incompetenc and corruption of course but those are not in conflict with the above. Rather the opposite actually.