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Birth rate declines come to Canada.
By now, many of you will have seen Igor Chudov’s excellent reporting on birth rates in various, highly vaccinated countries. For those who have not, he has a whole series of articles on this topic. Here are a few of them, non-inclusive:
In short, Igor points out that birth rates are declining at an unprecedented rate beginning approximately 9 months after vaccination of young populations. His observation comes at a time when the flood gates have finally opened on things we already knew: vaccination upsets women’s menstrual cycles and damages men’s sperm in a myriad of ways. Of course, the only reason the floodgates have opened is due to the extensive censorship campaign that coincided with the vaccination campaign. Last year, when the first reports of the vaccine bio-accumulating in the ovaries came out, people were ostracized for sounding the alarm.
Perhaps most pernicious was the fact that public health authorities pushed the vaccine on pregnant women even harder at this time despite the fact that the vaccine had never been tested on that population. Unfortunately, the information blackout also resulted in us having little in the way of solid data to work with on pregnancy outcomes.
However, the problem may be even more fundamental than that — and further highlights the limitations of randomized control trials: not everything is measured. It turns out that fertility outcomes may have been even more absent in the trials than pregnancy outcomes. Luckily (or sadly), there was one signal that they cannot easily hide: live births.
I suspected that it would be awhile before Canada had similar confirmation on the trend that Igor identified. Statistics Canada releases information on fertility lagged by about a year, but most of their information is provided by provinces, so I did some digging. It turns out that British Columbia releases information on births every month.
For some context, despite ordering about a dozen doses for the entire population in advance, the vaccination campaign in Canada was a mess. The Trudeau government put their poor supply chain management on display in early 2021, and it was not until the spring when most younger populations began to receive vaccinations.
In British Columbia, individuals 18 to 39 really began to get vaccinated in sizeable numbers in May. Prior to that, only individuals with the right set of characteristics were vaccinated in those age groups. Between May 1 and June 1, however, the rollout began with vaccination (first dose) rates rose from 20 to 60%. Thus, if we assume that the vaccine primarily damages fertility (rather than causes an inordinate amount of miscarriages), then we would assume the effects would start to be seen around February 2022.
Well, Canadians, it’s happening here, too.
In just six months, British Columbia has about 1,000 less births than normal, and except for January, has seen the lowest number of births in the last 6 years in every month. So much for the new baby boom. The numbers further decrease in June to -10.73% less than the median number of births; however, some of that may be due to a delay in data reporting, so we will need to keep an eye on that.
Much like Igor showed, this trend did not appear in either 2020 or 2021, which weakens the argument that people are simply “choosing” not to have children after the pandemic. I would be interested to see how many more couples are using services like fertility clinics, and so on, as they struggle to have children. If there is a corresponding increase, then it would be hard for critics to argue that the vaccine is not the problem. Though, I suspect getting data like that would be difficult. Perhaps a meaningful instrument like sales of pregnancy tests would be more accessible?