As the winter wave begins across Canada, we are seeing merely the continuation of a trend that has been occurring for awhile. It will be blamed on omicron, of course, despite this trend occurring in most countries that honestly reported their data around this time in the vaccination campaign
Most "Unvaccinated" = "People we injected and want you to think got Infected before we injected them. So we let them clear the virus and then accept them as recovered (stolen immunity) or if they die in the 14-21 days then dump them unceremoniously and dishonor them even further after death by claiming they didn't take the steps we told them to early enough (of getting vaccinated) when they tried and suffered due to our deceptions."
Why couldn't governement oppression and vaccines function co-exist? Oppressors (or bullies) doesn't need a reason after all, just an excuse.
I think, based on my own anecdotal observations, that what is driving infection among the vaccinated is two things, one of which is impossible to quantify and measure:
1) Efficiency of vaccine can of course be measured. We can make subsets, we can measure with quite fine granularity if we want to, and we can track change over time and so on. Since no governement is doing this, at least not in western nations, tracking and data doesn't really matter.
2) The psychological effect of vaccination: thanks to term "vaccine" being used, we assume this spikeprotein-injection works the same as the vaccine against smallpox, measles, et c. We are also, both younger and older, fully immersed in the idea that "Vaccinated = can't get sick" which isn't true of any vaccine. (And anyone who has studied probality a/o behavioural psychology knows that we as a species suck at judging odds, we're simply not wired that way.)
Building on 2 above, the vaccinated as I've observed both among strangers and acquaintancies and family, immediately after their first shot reverts to pre-Covidmania behaviour. They drop - completely - the very basic and always useful health measures they used the very same morning before they got the shot.
Surely, that must help drive infection among the vaccinated?
Agree on (1), it seems governments have gone for the least cost method of tracking the virus using existing infrastructure. Yet they arbitrarily spend billions on random research projects, often with little or no benefits. Despite the fact allocation of resources should, in theory, be one of the few things government is good at they have completely ignored good data. I've said a few times now we should do rapid testing in the same way we do political polling. Not too expensive, but we would at least have a good idea of what is occurring. A year after the vaccine rollout and we still don't have good data on effectiveness. Note, these Canadian provinces, without exception, claim 90%+ VE. The true number may be closer to half that and dropping fast.
For (2), I am not sure if the behavioral changes are on the level of the Peltzmann effect, say. But if it did, it would probably be unique to a certain subset of the vaccinated group that were only following safety measures because they were told to. The one behavioral risk that does change is testing rates... But it is hard to say if that is because they feel protected or because government is cresting incentives for the unvaccinated to test (ie. Keep a job) and disincentives for thr vaccinated to test (ie. No more free testing in Saskatchewan).
I agree...the vaccinated I know haven't changed behavior too much pre or post. By the way Jestre, I appreciate your substack and read your e-mails when they are received. One question if you are able to respond. Where do you get the Covid cases data from? Many regards.
Thanks for the update.
Most "Unvaccinated" = "People we injected and want you to think got Infected before we injected them. So we let them clear the virus and then accept them as recovered (stolen immunity) or if they die in the 14-21 days then dump them unceremoniously and dishonor them even further after death by claiming they didn't take the steps we told them to early enough (of getting vaccinated) when they tried and suffered due to our deceptions."
Why couldn't governement oppression and vaccines function co-exist? Oppressors (or bullies) doesn't need a reason after all, just an excuse.
I think, based on my own anecdotal observations, that what is driving infection among the vaccinated is two things, one of which is impossible to quantify and measure:
1) Efficiency of vaccine can of course be measured. We can make subsets, we can measure with quite fine granularity if we want to, and we can track change over time and so on. Since no governement is doing this, at least not in western nations, tracking and data doesn't really matter.
2) The psychological effect of vaccination: thanks to term "vaccine" being used, we assume this spikeprotein-injection works the same as the vaccine against smallpox, measles, et c. We are also, both younger and older, fully immersed in the idea that "Vaccinated = can't get sick" which isn't true of any vaccine. (And anyone who has studied probality a/o behavioural psychology knows that we as a species suck at judging odds, we're simply not wired that way.)
Building on 2 above, the vaccinated as I've observed both among strangers and acquaintancies and family, immediately after their first shot reverts to pre-Covidmania behaviour. They drop - completely - the very basic and always useful health measures they used the very same morning before they got the shot.
Surely, that must help drive infection among the vaccinated?
Agree on (1), it seems governments have gone for the least cost method of tracking the virus using existing infrastructure. Yet they arbitrarily spend billions on random research projects, often with little or no benefits. Despite the fact allocation of resources should, in theory, be one of the few things government is good at they have completely ignored good data. I've said a few times now we should do rapid testing in the same way we do political polling. Not too expensive, but we would at least have a good idea of what is occurring. A year after the vaccine rollout and we still don't have good data on effectiveness. Note, these Canadian provinces, without exception, claim 90%+ VE. The true number may be closer to half that and dropping fast.
For (2), I am not sure if the behavioral changes are on the level of the Peltzmann effect, say. But if it did, it would probably be unique to a certain subset of the vaccinated group that were only following safety measures because they were told to. The one behavioral risk that does change is testing rates... But it is hard to say if that is because they feel protected or because government is cresting incentives for the unvaccinated to test (ie. Keep a job) and disincentives for thr vaccinated to test (ie. No more free testing in Saskatchewan).
I agree...the vaccinated I know haven't changed behavior too much pre or post. By the way Jestre, I appreciate your substack and read your e-mails when they are received. One question if you are able to respond. Where do you get the Covid cases data from? Many regards.